{"id":90324,"date":"2023-08-15T20:58:14","date_gmt":"2023-08-15T17:58:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.csregypt.com\/?p=90324"},"modified":"2023-08-15T20:58:14","modified_gmt":"2023-08-15T17:58:14","slug":"researchers-warn-climate-related-death-toll-to-balloon-in-africa-if-hydromet-infrastructure-not-upgraded","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/csregypt.com\/en\/researchers-warn-climate-related-death-toll-to-balloon-in-africa-if-hydromet-infrastructure-not-upgraded\/","title":{"rendered":"Researchers warn climate-related death toll to \u201cballoon\u201d in Africa if hydromet infrastructure not upgraded"},"content":{"rendered":"

A team of risk experts and climatologists from the UK and Africa led by the University of Cambridge warned that without major and rapid upgrades to \u201chydromet infrastructure\u201d, the damage and death toll caused by climate-related disasters across Africa<\/a> will \u201cballoon\u201d.<\/p>\n

The researchers point to latest research showing that \u2013 over the last two decades \u2013 the average number of deaths caused by a flooding event in Africa is four times higher than the European and North American average per flood.<\/p>\n

When investigating this disparity, the team looked at World Meteorological Organization (WMO)<\/a> data and found the entire continent of Africa has just 6% of the number of radar stations as the US and Europe\u2019s combined total, despite having a comparable population size and a third more land.<\/p>\n

Radar stations detect weather fluctuations and rainfall as well as long-term climate trends, and are vital for the forewarning of impending floods and other meteorological events. The African continent has just 37 such stations.<\/p>\n

Moreover, WMO data shows that more than 50% of the radar stations that do currently operate across Africa are unable to produce accurate enough data to predict weather patterns for the coming days or even hours.<\/p>\n

The research team call on the international community to boost funding for systems that mitigate risks to life from climate disasters. Currently, just $0.47 of every $100 spent on global development aid goes towards disaster risk reduction of any kind.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe vast gaps in Africa\u2019s disaster reduction systems are in danger of rendering other aid investments redundant,\u201d said Dr Asaf Tzachor, co-lead author and research affiliate at Cambridge\u2019s Center for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER).<\/a><\/p>\n

The team outlined a series of recommendations for plugging Africa\u2019s weather-warning gap.<\/p>\n

Firstly, identify the most at-risk areas. \u201cTypes of climate hazard vary wildly across the continent \u2013 from the cyclones in Madagascar to the protracted droughts of east Africa,\u201d said Tzachor.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe need for more weather stations across Africa is undeniable, but this must go hand-in-hand with improved satellite monitoring and major training initiatives to increase the number of skilled African meteorologists.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cMultilayered hydromet systems, including weather monitoring, forecasting and early warning, are taken for granted by the Global North, and have been for decades,\u201d said co-lead author Dr Catherine Richards, also from CSER at the University of Cambridge.<\/p>\n

\u201cMeanwhile, the most foundational layer on which the others depend is often missing, outmoded or malfunctioning across Africa \u2013 more so than any other global region.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cWell-funded hydromet systems must become a priority to help at-risk populations mitigate and adapt to weather-related hazards as the effects of climate change take hold,\u201d Richards said.<\/p>\n

The latest computational techniques must be adopted, said the researchers, including automated AI approaches that combine weather data with social media activity to predict disaster dynamics.<\/p>\n

Early warning systems need to be expanded, and provide clear directions to evacuate in local dialects. \u201cOver 80% of Africans have access to a mobile network, so text messages could be a powerful way to deliver targeted warnings,\u201d said Richards.<\/p>\n

Finally, major investment will be vital \u2013 and pay dividends. \u201cThe World Bank has estimated a $1.5 billion price tag for continent-wide hydromet systems, but it would save African countries from $13 billion in asset losses and $22 billion in livelihood losses annually,\u201d said Tzachor. \u201cA nearly nine-to-one return on investment is surely a no-brainer.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

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A team of risk experts and climatologists from the UK and Africa led by the University of Cambridge warned that without major and rapid upgrades to \u201chydromet infrastructure\u201d, the damage and death toll caused by climate-related disasters across Africa will \u201cballoon\u201d. 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