{"id":55572,"date":"2020-05-15T01:40:30","date_gmt":"2020-05-14T23:40:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.csregypt.com\/?p=55572"},"modified":"2020-05-15T01:40:30","modified_gmt":"2020-05-14T23:40:30","slug":"ev-sales-are-surging-can-mineral-producers-meet-future-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/csregypt.com\/en\/ev-sales-are-surging-can-mineral-producers-meet-future-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"EV Sales Are Surging. Can Mineral Producers Meet Future Demand?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The 48-year-old tech billionaire got himself into hot water with regulators a couple of years ago by\u00a0tweeting<\/a>\u00a0that he was \u201cconsidering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.\u201d (At its 52-week high in February, the company\u2019s stock traded at more than double that amount.) Then there was the time he smoked weed live on Joe Rogan\u2019s show, a decision that the administrator of NASA himself called\u00a0\u201cnot appropriate.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n

Oh, and you may have heard that he named his and Canadian singer Grimes\u2019 newborn son X \u00c6 A-12, though\u00a0California regulations may have something to say about it.<\/a><\/p>\n

Even more recently, Musk\u2014a vocal critic of coronavirus lockdown measures\u2014disobeyed a California county\u2019s laws by reopening the Tesla assembly plant. \u201cIf anyone is arrested, I ask that it only be me,\u201d he\u00a0tweeted.<\/a><\/p>\n

In his defense, Musk acted to stay ahead of the Detroit automakers, which are themselves reopening this week. No rest for the weary, as they say. After years of losses, Tesla is now the most valuable automobile manufacturer in U.S. history, with a market cap of $97 billion. That\u2019s slightly more than the combined market caps of the more-than 100-year-old Ford Motor and General Motors Companies.<\/p>\n

The road hasn\u2019t been easy. Tesla reported net income of $16 million in the March quarter, the first time in company history that the Silicon Valley automaker has seen a profit in the first quarter of the year. 2020 may very well be its best year yet, the virus notwithstanding, while other manufacturers struggle to catch up with the growing demand for electric vehicles (EVs).<\/p>\n

EV Sales Soared in the First Quarter While Internal Combustion Engines Sank<\/strong><\/h3>\n

It\u2019s enticing to make the case that Tesla is more of a tech stock than an automobile stock\u2014it certainly doesn\u2019t trade like the traditional automakers\u2014but the truth is that its EVs have outsold everyone else\u2019s by a wide margin, thanks to its innovation and first mover advantage.<\/p>\n

As of the end of 2019, Tesla\u2019s Model 3 and Model S were the\u00a0number one and number two bestselling EVs<\/a>\u00a0in the U.S. by cumulative sales. The Model 3 alone sold close to 300,500 units, or more than two times as many as the number three bestselling EV, GM\u2019s Chevy Volt.<\/p>\n

In the month of April, the Model 3 wasn\u2019t just the United Kingdom\u2019s bestselling EV but its bestselling\u00a0vehicle,\u00a0<\/em>outselling even traditional combustion engine vehicles as overall sales plummeted due to lockdown measures to contain COVID-19. Close to\u00a0660 Model 3s were purchased in April,<\/a>\u00a0followed by the Jaguar I-PACE, which sold 367 during the month.<\/p>\n

EVs in general did very well throughout Western Europe during the first quarter, with sales doubling and sometimes tripling compared to the same three months a year earlier, according to BloombergNEF. In the U.S., EV sales also managed to see a slight increase over last year, March being the one exception. Meanwhile, sales of gasoline and diesel-burning vehicles decreased in every major auto market, including China, the U.S. and Europe.<\/p>\n

Where Will We Get the Raw Materials?<\/strong><\/h3>\n

It\u2019s too early to say whether electricity will kill gas and diesel completely, but the trend certainly seems to be pointed in that direction.<\/p>\n

This sets up a problem that EV makers will need to address sooner rather than later: Who\u2019s going to supply the raw materials that EVs use much more frequently and in greater quantities than traditional automobiles? And how can this supply chain be scaled up as demand increases even more rapidly?<\/p>\n

To give you some idea of the challenges ahead, check out the visual below. Several base metals will be in short supply and increasingly hard to come by if steps are not taken today to develop mineral projects across the globe, particularly in emerging economies. BloombergNEF estimates that by 2030, the demand for nickel will be more than 15.5 times greater than it was in 2018, thanks to the growing need for batteries. The forecast demand for aluminum and copper could be 10 times greater.<\/p>\n

The World Bank looks even further ahead, to 2050. In a\u00a0report<\/a>\u00a0released this month, the Washington, D.C.-based institution writes that \u201cthe production of minerals such as graphite, lithium and cobalt could increase\u00a0by nearly 500 percent\u00a0by 2050\u201d (emphasis mine) to meet demand for new technologies, including EVs.<\/p>\n

For such projects, financing has been difficult to come by. Lithium producers alone are projected to need between $25 billion and $40 billion over the next decade to develop new mines. Today, lithium production is dangerously concentrated in China, which is responsible for\u00a080 percent of the world\u2019s output.<\/a>\u00a0The U.S., meanwhile, produces only 1 percent of all lithium, despite having access to large deposits.<\/p>\n

To help prevent a supply squeeze, carmakers are being urged to\u00a0invest in mines themselves<\/a>\u00a0and buying directly from producers, Bloomberg reports. Although car companies have historically not been in the business of investing upstream, \u201cthe rules have changed,\u201d explains Sam Riggall, CEO of Australian tech firm Clean TeQ Holdings.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019re building a supply chain that\u2019s never existed before, for a range of metals that have never been needed before by this industry.\u201d<\/p>\n

Tesla did just that in January, negotiating a long-term contract with Glencore to\u00a0ship cobalt to its EV factory in Shanghai.<\/a>\u00a0And earlier this month, Glencore announced that it and Canada\u2019s First Cobalt are planning to open North America\u2019s\u00a0first cobalt refinery north of Toronto.<\/a>\u00a0The plant will supply EV manufacturers looking to diversify away from China, which also controls the global cobalt market.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a brave new world, to be sure, but one that promises to offer some incredible resource investment opportunities.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The 48-year-old tech billionaire got himself into hot water with regulators a couple of years ago by\u00a0tweeting\u00a0that he was \u201cconsidering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.\u201d (At its 52-week high in February, the company\u2019s stock traded at more than double that amount.) Then there was the time he smoked weed live on Joe Rogan\u2019s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":410,"featured_media":55573,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[984,6030],"tags":[7084,6526],"yoast_head":"\nEV Sales Are Surging. 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