SUTD expects Egypt to be free from COVID-19 in August

28 / 04 / 2020

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The Data-Driven Innovation Lab of the Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD) expected that Egypt will be free from coronavirus (COVID-19) by August 30 with 97 percent of the cases to cease around June 8.

The university’s site provides continuous predictive monitoring of COVID-19 developments as a complement to monitoring confirmed cases. SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model is regressed with data from different countries to estimate the pandemic life cycle curves and predict when the pandemic might end in respective countries and the world, with codes from Milan Batista and data from Our World in Data. Given the rapidly changing situations, the predictive monitors are updated daily with the latest data.

The university’s predictions for other Arab states:

The university forecast Oman will be free from the pandemic around July 17 with 97 percent of the coronavirus cases to end around May 27.

According to the university’s estimates, the university predicted that coronavirus cases will cease by99 percent in Saudi Arabia by July 24.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is expected to be declared free from the coronavirus by July 23 with coronavirus cases to cease by 97 percent around May 22.

The university predicted the coronavirus cases to end by 99 percent in Algeria by May 30. Bahrain is expected to reach the same percentage by August 23, while Iraq will be on May 28.

In Jordan, the coronavirus cases are forecast to end by 99 percent on May 7, while Kuwait will reach this percentage by July 29.

According to university’s estimates, Lebanon will see the pandemic ending by 99 percent on May 7, while Morocco will reach this percentage on June 10.

The university estimated that the whole world is predicted to see the end of the pandemic on December 1 with 97 percent of the cases will end on May 30.